新常态下社会融资规模作为货币政策中介目标的相关性研究
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新常态下社会融资规模作为货币政策中介目标的相关性研究(论文9100字)
摘 要
随着我国金融改革与发展的逐步深化,社会融资规模的增长以及融资渠道的多元化发展正好为货币政策的目标性调控提供了全新的思路。因此以社会融资规模作为货币政策的中介目标一方面能够进一步加强金融发展与社会发展之间的经济联系,另一方面也能够合理补充货币供应量这一传统政策中介目标的局限性,并有效增强货币供应量宏观调控的全面适应性,对于新常态下的宏观调控与经济发展都有着一定的可行性。所以基于这种研究背景,本文创新性的将社会融资规模这一指标作为货币政策的中介调控目标用于经济研究,利用社会融资规模所具有的更为丰富和全面的经济信息,多角度、多层次的研究二者之间的经济相关性,并在此基础上更为深入的对金融体系建设与实体经济发展之间的经济关系,并提出更符合我国货币政策宏观调控目标要求的合理化建议,以更好的适应我国金融发展与经济建设的全局要求。
关键词:经济新常态;社会融资规模;货币政策;相关性
A Study on the Relevance of Social Financing Sizes as the Intermediary Target of Monetary Policy under the New Normal
Abstract
With the gradual deepening of China's financial reform and development, the scale of social financing and the diversified development of financing channels provide a completely new idea for the objective regulation and control of monetary policy.therefore, taking the size of social financing as the intermediary target of monetary policy can further strengthen the economic connection between financial development and social development on the one hand, and can also rationally replenish the traditional policy intermediary target of money supply on the other hand And effectively enhance the overall adaptability of the macro-control of the money supply, which is feasible for the macro-control and economic development in the new normal. Therefore, based on this research background, this paper innovatively uses the indicator of social financing scale as the intermediary and control target of monetary policy for economic research. It uses the richer and more comprehensive economic information of social financing scale, Based on this, the paper further discusses the economic relationship between the financial system construction and the development of real economy, and puts forward reasonable suggestions that are more in line with the requirements of the macro-control of monetary policy in our country. In order to better meet the overall requirements of China's financial development and economic construction.
Key words: New normalcy of economy; social financing scale; monetary policy; relevance
目 录
1. 绪论 4
1.1 研究背景与意义 4
1.2 国内外研究综述 4
1.3 主要研究内容 6
1.4 研究方法 6
2. 理论研究基础 7
2.1 货币政策中介目标的主要内容 7
2.3 我国货币政策中介目标的发展历程 8
3. 新常态下社会融资规模作为货币政策中介目标的相关性分析 8
3.1 社会融资规模与物价的经济相关性分析 9
3.2 社会融资规模与经济增长的经济相关性分析 10
3.3 社会融资规模与促进就业的经济相关性分析 11
3.4 社会融资规模与国际收支平衡的经济相关性分析 11
4. 新常态下社会融资规模与货币供应量作为中介目标的一个对比 12
4.1 经济贡献率的对比分析 13
4.2 市场经济作用程度的对比分析 14
4.3 调控灵活性的对比分析 14
结 论 15 |