HY培训中心大楼项目建设风险管理研究(硕士)(论文34000字)
摘要
房地产业对我国经济发展有着举足轻重的作用，规范房地产业的管理机制及流程，对于房地产业的发展有着重要的意义。目前，我国房地产业面临着较大的调整，相关政府职能部门也已经展开了强有力的管控措施。风险管理在我国工程建设中尚未形成完整、系统的有效制度，导致在建设过程中存在大量风险。因此，有必要进一步对房地产建设项目的风险管理进行深入研究。
延安新城项目是延安目前最为重要的项目，对于延安未来的经济发展，人民生活水平的提高均有重要的意义，受到了各级政府及广大市民的关注。HY培训中心大楼项目是延安新城项目，在质量、工期等方面都提出了更高的要求，然而，由于工程项目周期长、涉及人员多、工期长等特征，因此，HY培训中心大楼项目面临着众多的风险。为了确保项目能够顺利进行，保质按期完工，有必要在项目进行风险管理。
本论文以HY培训中心大楼项目为研究对象，基于项目风险管理理论，结合HY培训中心大楼项目的实际情况，采用层次分析法及模糊综合评价法对项目风险进行综合评价，为项目风险的应对提供依据，保障项目按照预期顺利进行。本文主要从以下几个方面进行研究：
（1）绪论。主要介绍了HY培训中心大楼项目的研究背景、研究目的和意义以及国内外研究现状。
（2）相关理论基础。主要对项目风险的分类、特征，风险管理概念及风险管理全过程进行了详细的叙述，为后文的研究作理论支撑。
（3）风险识别。介绍了HY培训中心大楼项目的基本情况，对项目管理现状进行分析，得出项目面临的风险主要有：环境风险、管理风险、经济风险、技术风险及建设风险。
（4）风险评价。应用层次分析法计算出各风险的权重，然后，结合模糊综合评价法，得出准则层风险度，从而得出了HY培训中心大楼项目风险评价结果，最后得出，风险度最高的为技术风险，最低的为环境风险。
（5）风险应对。根据前文对项目风险的分析及风险评价结果，有针对性的制定出HY培训中心大楼项目风险应对策略及具体方法。
（6）结论与展望。主要阐述了论文的研究结论、不足及未来研究方向。
通过对HY培训中心大楼项目进行风险管理，期望能够将风险管理理论应用于项目，降低项目风险带来的损失，提高项目风险管理水平。
关键字：风险管理 风险识别 风险评价
Abstract
The real estate industry plays an important role in China's economic development, and regulates the management mechanism and process of the real estate industry, which is of great significance to the development of the real estate industry. At present, China's real estate industry is facing a greater adjustment, the relevant government departments have also launched a strong control measures. Risk management in China's construction has not yet formed a complete system of effective system, resulting in the construction process there is a lot of risk. Therefore, it is necessary to further study the risk management of real estate construction projects in depth.
Yan'an Metro project is the most important project in Yan'an. For the future economic development of Yan'an, the improvement of people's living standard is of great significance and has been paid by the governments at all levels and the general public. HY training center building project is Yan'an Metro project, in the quality, duration and other aspects have put forward higher requirements, however, due to the long project cycle, involving more personnel, long duration and other characteristics, therefore, HY training center building project is facing Numerous risks. In order to ensure the smooth progress of the project, durability is completed on time, it is necessary to carry out risk management throughout the project cycle.
Based on the project risk management theory and the actual situation of HY training center building project, this paper adopts the AH analysis training center building project as the research object, uses the AHP method and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to carry on the comprehensive evaluation to the project risk, provides the project risk response Basis, the protection of the project in accordance with the expected smooth. This paper mainly from the following aspects:
(1 Introduction. This paper mainly introduces the research background, research purpose and significance of HY training center building and the research status at home and abroad.
(2) the relevant theoretical basis. Mainly on the project risk classification, characteristics, risk management concepts and risk management of the whole process were described in detail for the subsequent research for theoretical support.
(3) risk identification. This paper introduces the basic situation of HY training center building, analyzes the current situation of project management, and draws out the risks that the project faces: environmental risk, management risk, economic risk, technical risk and construction risk.
(4) risk assessment. The risk of the risk of the criterion layer is obtained by using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and then the risk evaluation result of the HY training center building project is obtained. Finally, it is concluded that the highest risk is the technical risk , The lowest for environmental risks.
(5) risk response. According to the previous analysis of the project risk and the results of the risk assessment, the risk management strategy and the specific method of the HY training center building project are formulated objectively.
(6) Conclusion and Prospect. Mainly elaborated the research conclusion, the insufficiency and the future research direction of the thesis.
Through the risk management of the HY training center building project, it is expected to apply the risk management theory to the project, reduce the losses caused by the project risk and improve the project risk management level.
Key words: risk management risk identification risk assessment
目录
1、绪论 7
1.1研究背景 7
1.2 研究目的及意义 8
1.2.1研究目的 8
1.2.2研究意义 8
1.3国内外研究现状 9
1.3.1国外研究现状 9
1.3.2国内研究现状 10
1.3.3文献综述 12
1.4研究内容、技术路线 13
1.4.1研究内容 13
1.4.2 技术路线 15
1.4.3研究方法 16
1.5创新点 17
2 理论基础 18
2.1.项目管理相关理论 18
2.1.1项目管理概念及分类 18
2.1.2项目风险分类 18
2.1.3项目风险的特征 20
2.1.3项目风险管理的概念及内容 21
2.2项目风险管理的过程 21
2.2.1风险识别 21
2.2.2风险评估 23
2.2.3风险应对 25
3、HY培训中心大楼项目风险分析与识别 27
3.1 HY培训中心大楼建设项目简介 27
3.1.1项目所在区域位置 27
3.1.2项目所在区域情况 27
3.1.3项目简介 28
3.1.3项目风险管理现状 28
3.2HY培训中心大楼项目风险识别方法选取 30
3.2.1项目风险识别 30
3.2.2项目识别步骤 30
3.3HY培训中心大楼项目风险分析 31
3.3.1HY培训中心大楼项目环境风险分析 31
3.3.2HY培训中心大楼项目财务管理风险分析 31
3.3.3HY培训中心大楼项目管理风险分析 32
3.3.4HY培训中心大楼项目技术风险分析 32
3.3.5HY培训中心大楼项目建设风险分析 32
3.4 HY培训中心大楼项目风险识别结果 34
4 HY培训中心大楼项目风险评估 36
4.1 项目风险定性分析 36
4.2项目风险评价指标体系 37
4.2.1项目风险评价指标体系的建立 37
4.2.2确定各项评价指标的权重 38
4.3项目建设风险的模糊综合评价 44
5、HY培训中心大楼项目的风险应对措施 47
5.1HY培训中心大楼项目风险防范策略 47
5.1.1环境风险的防范策略 47
5.1.2经济风险的防范策略 47
5.1.3管理风险防范策略 48
5.1.4技术风险防范策略 48
5.1.5建设风险防范策略 49
5.1.6HY培训中心大楼项目风险应对策略 49
5.2 HY培训中心大楼项目风险具体应对方法 50
5.2.1建立完善的风险管理制度 50
5.2.2建立完善的风险管理组织机构 50
5.2.3加大风险管理培训力度 51
6 结论及展望 52
6.1结论 52
6.2局限性及展望 53
参考文献 54 |
